Wednesday, February 16, 2011

2011 Detroit NFL draft 1st round trading down scenarios

I was told I met the CPA standards to sit for the CPA exam, so there's something to celebrate for. Anyways, I seem year after year minus last year want to trade down.

Possible trade partners:
St. Louis (14) - They're a pick behind us and want a skill position (boy I hate saying skill position, please someone come up with something better and let me know). We're not a threat at taking Julio, but St. Louis should be worried about someone else moving up to get Julio here, like the Patriots. I remember a year when I believe the Browns traded up one spot to take Kellen Winslow and we moved one spot back to get Big catch big drop Roy Williams. That would get us a fifth and a sixth round pick and we could possible move back again.

Miami (15) - They want the same thing except it sounds li0ke they want Ingram. They know St. Louis isn't interested in Ingram with Steven Jackson. Like the Rams they might want to guarantee themselves the guy they want. Trust me when I say the Patriots have ammo of trading up. Personally I think the Patriots are going to reload and give up a first round pick to the Raiders. This is worth a fourth and a fifth and the two taken off the board are Julio Jones and Mark Ingram. The only person disagreeing and wondering what the Lions are doing is Matt Millen.

Patriots (17) - They also have the 28th pick and could want to finally make a splash in the draft instead of moving down. Like I said I think they're going to continue to reload, if I had guess they'll trade a first round pick to the Raiders for a future and probably like a second rounder. Now for the above mentioned the Patriots might want to move up ahead of the two to get their skilled player. This would get us a third and a sixth rounder.

Saints (24) - If they want to be an actual dual threat on offense they need a RB like Ingram. There could honestly be five tackles off the board by this pick. Ayers and Harris could be gone. Possibilities here are from most likely to least likely are: Castonzo, Jimmy Smith, Justin Houston, Sherrod, Carimi, Brandon Harris and Ayers. We'd get a second, fourth, and a sixth. I actually like Justin Houston, he's got good footwork, a noise for the ball, and seems to make good reads. He can sit in his zone. He's not nearly as athletic or as good in pass coverage as Ayers and keep in mind he's another DE/OLB.

Prospects of moving down (not yet talked about):
Jimmy Smith - This is a guy that can play the game. My biggest concern is can he handle some of the big WR in the NFL. He's faster and has better ball skills than Prince. Not to get into Prince, but Prince is better because he's more polished (footwork, hips, hands, and instincts). He really struggles tackling and getting goff blocks, doesn't look comfortable sitting and reading the qb in a zone. He'll probably never wow you or be an elite talent in the league, but I could see him being in the league for a while because he's a consistent player that seems to be able to bat every ball away when he's in the area.

Brandon Harris - Appropriate to  go straight to Harris after Smith. Harris doesn't have the ball skills Smith has incredible speed. This is a guy that has the wow factor and he doesn't mind hitting someone. He kind of reminds me of Ernie, doesn't have the instincts, but he makes up for in speed. Thankfully for him he plays a different position. I never was a fan of Ernie I believe he get all the hype because nobody watched the Lions and saw how many tackles he had ever though they were all from behind 10 yards down the field.

Constonzo - Everyone seems to say he's a high IQ guy. I don't see him being a starter anytime soon. He's a leaner and can never seem to get his weight directly underneath himself. Good run blocker, he gets to the second level.

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