Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Ideal/Realistic/Likely

I am going to go through draft of ideal meaning it could happen and if we could have anyone it'd be him. Realistic being this person is probably more realistic to be available. Likely being this person is very likely to be available.

1st Round

Ideal - Luke Joeckel. He's a great pass blocking LT. Fisher has quite a bit more nasty in him. I think we could very well finish our OL for years to come. Hillard and Fox being young backups as well. Joeckel is a very smooth and polished LT.

Realistic - Eric Fisher. Nasty running blocking LT. Reiff is a great running back tackle as well. This will help our running game. Reiff is a much better fit at RT.

Likely - Dee Milliner. There very could well be two LTs gone. I am not that high on Lane Johnson. I surely don't like him nearly this early. I wouldn't take him in the single digits. I would take Warmack over Johnson. Yes, I liked DeCastro over Reiff even though I mocked it differently last year. I hope I continue to be wrong there. Milliner isn't an elite CB, but he's a day one starting CB for the Lions and that's important.

There's really nobody outside of these three that I like at 5. If these three are gone we really need to move down. A lot of people have been having Miami, Bills, and 49ers move up.

2nd Round

Ideal - Xavier Rhodes. I think Rhodes is also realistic. Great size, speed, and ball skills. I think he's realistic too. There's a chance that there's a run on CBs. Banks is a huge CB that is very raw that would be my next CB. I think it's realistic one of them is there. I'm not going to talk about two CBs so I'll save the next slot for.

Realistic - A top guy dropping. Damontre Moore, Manti Te'o, Arthur Brown, Werner, Jarvis Jones, Jonathon Cooper, or Alec Ogeltree. Alec has issues and don't think he's worth the risk. I know people are saying Te'o is a lock 1st rounder, but no late first round pick is. Here's the thing there's not a lot of teams that need that guy. Bears don't take Te'o who knows where he could drop. I'd really like Werner here. I'd be stoked. I'm not saying all these guys are realistic, but I believe multiple peopel out of this list to drop. I think Brown is undersized and is injury proned, but he's a quality OLB and a position of need.

Likely - Kevin Minter.  Get ourself a nice ILB. Margus Hunt DE, Alex Okafor DE, Kyle Long OT/G, Larry Warford G, Terron Armstead OT, or Robert Alford CB. I have to say I'm not high any too many people from this list other then Minter and Hunt. Warford wouldn't be a bad pick. Other then that I don't like Okafor.

3rd Round

Ideal - WR that stretches the field. Talk about Keenan Allen, Terrence Williams, Robert Woods, Quinton Patton, Markus Wheaton, or Stedman Bailey. There's so many. Allen isn't likely at all. I think Woods is underrated but isn't the deep threat were looking for, but I don't think you pass on him for that reason. I think he's the second best receiver in this group. Keep in mind Burleson doesn't have too many years left. Allen showed great hands at the draft he very well could go in the first round. I do think Williams and Stedman will be available.

Realistic - Interior lineman. Travis Frederick. He should be available here. He'd be a great fit. Can play guard or center.

Likely - Trade back. There's likely to be a run on QBs. We're a pick before the run should begin if it already hasn't. I do think that teams will fall in love with Manuel and Smith and they could go early starting the dominos for Bray, Glennon, Barkley, and more early. If there's still a handful of QB we should be able to trade down. Look at Kiko Alnso ILB, David Bakhtiari OT/G, David Amerson CB, Blidi CB, Khaseem Greene LB, or Baccari Rambo S. I think out of this group Greene makes the most sense and I like him the best.

Trading back and getting Frederick really makes the most sense to me. Rambo is probably the most talented, but has issues.

4th Round

Ideal - Getting a WR or interior lineman here instead of the 3rd round. There's a chance someone falls. Now I think Frederick is gone, but there are other options. I think you could look at Swope here at WR now. Also, look at Goodwin, and Aaron Dobson. Dobson is I guy that I love. The interior ideal lineman would be Barrett Jones.

Realistic - Brian Schwenke. Another interior lineman that should be there. This guy is nasty. The ideal nasty for a center.

Likely - Really opening a can of worms this late in the draft here. Two risky guys I'm going to put here. Since this is a late 4th round I don't know that I can say they are likely. Lattimore and Mathieu would be interesting and not stupid picks in my opinion. Mathieu is a honey badger. We are actually in a situation to allow Lattimore to heal similar to Broyles last year. This in my mind would be a steal getting Lattimore. With Mathieu's issues I don't see him going earlier then the 4th round. He's undersized, not really that athletic. He could be a playmaker though.

I really think Schwenke makes the most sense here.

Quick recap. If I'm mocking this draft and being realistic. Have them taking Fisher, Rhodes, Frederick, and then Schwenke. I know what you're thinking that is a lot of lineman. We get a replacement for Dominic. Schwenke could start day one, but he's not a stud and that's why he'll probably be available. I'm going forward based on that.

5th Round

I think these people are realistic and likely. I am going to kind of go based on who I'm saying we've drafted.

Ideal - Kenny Stills. WR in the 5th round that will stretch the field. Got good hands and can run. We don't spend on a 2nd round pick on a guy that just needs to run fast. This works out well

Realistic/Likely - This is a deep DE draft and haven't had them with any. Sam Montgomery would in mind mind be a great pick. I love LBs Klein or Reddick here though. TJ McDonald could be a steal at safety at well in my opinion here.

6th and 7th Round

I'll be wanting Stugis in the 6th and then Ryan Allen in the 7th round. Top kicker and the punter. Then draft a DE with the last pick or possibly a LB. Probably biased again if Jake Knott is there I think you take him. Cameron Meredith DE out of Nebraska. He's very strong against the run which apparently the Lions forget teams can still runt the ball.

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