Monday, April 11, 2011

Draft and Tax Day is Getting Close

The draft is just 17 days away. Also, taxes are due on April 18th. Now, the tax day is April 15th, but they were slow on getting out the  new laws so they gave you an extra 3 days. I heard a H&R Block commercial I found a little deceiving. They said that they would get your taxes deferred for free and then go on to say stuff  really fast. A little tax advice. Anyone can get their taxes deferred for free and you will be granted the deferral. It is talking about the return and not the payment. No matter what the payment is due on the 15th (18th this year). So, when you ask for a deferral you need to send in a payment (estimation) of what you think your liability is.

The draft is not well timed for me. Sadly, I have my Audit final the Friday of the draft from 3-7. At least I can see rounds 4-7 on Saturday, maybe. Next week I have to prepare for all my other finals, then the first Friday in May I have my first CPA exam, and lastly commencement on Saturday. I have tried and talk my mom out of not wanting to come so I don't have to sit through commencement. They did get Michelle Obama to speak which is cool, but they are now combining it into one ceremony for everyone and it will take forever.

Onto draft talk. It has been a long time since I saw a mock draft and boy am I excited.

1st Round
Carolina Panthers
People are finally starting to wise and put a QB here. Called that a long time ago. This pick really could be anyone, but I think it comes down to Gabbert or Newton. If it is was me I wouldn't take either one. I would take Patrick Peterson or AJ Green. I think here I would lean towards Peterson. If QB was my only choice I'd take Newton over Gabbert and I think they will too.
-Newton

Denver Broncos
How is Tebag working out? Obviously well when your drafting several spots in front of the Lions. Once again I'd take Green or Peterson, but lean towards Green. In this case I think they should try and build an offense, were as I think the complete opposite of the Panthers. I think they would have to consider Bowers, but if I recall he has injury issues. I wish I got to get more sportscenter in. Sounds like Dareus is odds on favorite for them to pick.
-Dareus

Buffalo Bills
I truly wonder how they really feel at the QB position. They are not in terrible shape, but then again not good enough to win a Super Bowl. They may consider Fitzpatrick a bridge guy and say Gabbert or Newton or both aren't they guy we're looking for. Buffalo needs someone to get their fans excited and that might have to be a QB. Von Miller might do that to though, to some extent. I think if I'm the Bills I would take Miller, even though I believe Peterson would be the right pick. I say this because Miller would be more exciting. Based on the belief of the other two picks it is going to come down to Miller or a QB, maybe Peterson. I think they will go QB. Now if Poluszny leaves before the draft they may draft Miller based on that alone, but free agency before the draft seems unlikely.
-Gabbert

Cincinnati Bengals
This undoubtedly would be Green in my mind if Palmer was threatening the team. I won't be shocked if they take a QB here, even if two are off the board. Not that I want to say it, but they might be able to learn a lesson from the Browns. Then again there was less teams looking desperately for a QB. Green, top 2 QBs, or Peterson are the likely candidates. I think they go for Green still if both QBs are gone, but contemplate the third one.
-Green

Arizona Cardinals
I think it is going to be tough for one of the two QBs to still be here. If there is one, I think he will go here. Then next in order they would take Miller, Green, and then Peterson. Based on above Miller is still available.
-Miller

Cleveland Browns
Green, Miller, Peterson in that order I believe. They probably won't be a happy camper if the QBs don't get taken and those three are all gone. If that was the case they would almost have to go DL. Do the Lions give up a second round pick to move up and get Peterson here? That is definitely a tough call. I'll give up a every pick combined except for the 2nd round pick for Peterson. I think this would be a tough trade to pull off without a player that the Browns would want. A they would have to want him and B not everyone is under contract until free agency starts. So, you really don't want to trade away the players you do have. I think a DL or TE would make sense for both teams. The Lions really don't need 3 TEs and the Browns need one. You really don't want to trade Sammie Hill or Willie Young and a pick, but for Peterson I am willing to. I think ideally I'd give up Heller and a 3rd rounder. Then Willie Young and a 3rd.
-Peterson

San Francisco 49ers
Can't see Newton going here. I think Gabbert is the pick if he is here. I could see Locker here. I know it sounds crazy. I can't see Peterson, Miller, or Green getting out of the top 6. I think without Gabbert here is comes down to Prince, Quinn, and Bowers. Sounds like Quinn had a good pro day so am going to take Bowers out of the mix. It's a tough decision, you can hide your secondary with a good pass rusher (Lion fans might understand this concept). I think you go with the better defensive player. I would take Prince if it was me. Definitely a tough call though.
-Quinn

Tennessee Titans
I have to believe they would be taking a QB here if one of the top two are available. Right now I could see the 49ers getting back into the first round to get Locker. With the Vikings, Titans, and everyone else I have trouble seeing Mallet and Locker getting out of the 2nd round and possibly the first, because everyone is afraid of the other guys getting a QB unlike last year when it was the Panthers and the Browns when the Rams took Bradford. Please don't tell me about Tebag I know and he is not QB. Top defensive player or Julio. There is one guy that just makes too much sense for this pick to be.
-Nick Fairley

Dallas Cowboys
I am jumping on the bandwagon with this pick late and I agree with it. I think this makes the most sense and what they should do. If I were them I would take Solder. He looks better in pass protection potentially.
-Tyron Smith

Washington Redskins
The last three picks really could be Prince. Redskins want Julio and the Lions want Prince. Redskins take a 4th, 5th, and 7th maybe a future late round pick or something, I don't know. They would take a 3rd round pick, which is just too high I am thinking. Be nice to throw in a player that can't play for us anyways and a 4th round pick. I would definitely give up a 4th rounder and a little bit more for Prince. Julio should be there at 13 so it just makes sense that they will get to pay Julio less and get another draft pick. Right now I don't think the Redskins will take less than a 3rd round pick for the risk of losing out on Julio and I think the Lions wisely don't lose on value.
-Julio Jones

Houston Texans
Big question is are the Texans willing to trade back. According the ESPN chart it would be a 4th and a 5th. I think the Lions would have to pull the trigger if the Texans are willing to. They can also have the 7th round pick but no more. The Texans pick last year was CB Kareem Jackson, can they pull the trigger on a CB two years in a row? They are installing a 3-4 system. I think they trade with the Lions get their guy Aldon or take Prince. I have to imagine Wade Philips will want Aldon, but don't they have to jump at the opportunity of Prince? Maybe the Lions figure they have a good chance at getting Bowers or Prince. They need guys to change over into the 3-4 system.
-Aldon Smith

Minnesota Vikings
With Jones, Aldon, and Tyron Smith gone, it could be anyone. I think it comes down to DE or Prince.
-Bowers

Detroit Lions
This would be Bowers if Prince isn't available and he is.
-Prince

St. Louis Rams
This is another tough one. Most mock drafts agree who is gone at this point, unless AJ Green falls to the Redskins at 10 and then Julio falls here. I hate to be the bear of bad news but Julio is not a lock to get past the Lions which is a good thing. It should scare the Rams to moving up one spot and Julio would not be a bad pick.
-Corey Luiget

Miami Dolphins
This pick seems Ingram's to lose and apparently he lost it. I have to think a pick in the trenches or Ingram. Right now I lean towards they will take the best player available.
-JJ Watt

Jacksonville Jaguars
Don't see anyone for them to trade with at this point, maybe someone looking for a OT. The thing is there is quite a few still on the board.
-Ryan Kerrigan

New England Patriots
Year after year they are apparently the only team that can trade down. Maybe it is because they are always willing to take a 1st round pick next year. I don't see many bidders for this pick. I don't see them taking a OL. I think at this point it's Jordan, Wilkerson, and Ayers. I might be stretching for this pick, but it seems the only time the stay put and draft is for a LB they really like.
-Akeem Ayers

San Diego Chargers
This is a DL pick, unless everyone they want is gone.
-Cameron Jordan

New York Giants
I get the feeling someone is going to pull the trigger on Pouncey because of his brother. This should be OL or Ayers. There is talk of Ingram which I agree with, but I think they will wisely pass.
-Anthony Castonzo

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I think if the Pats or Jags want a trading partner this is it. I still think the Bucs are happy with their choices. They should like Clayborn or Houston. As a hawk hater how can I put Clayborn here. Seriously though I just saw him take to many plays off late in games where you couldn't drag me off the field.
-Justin Houston

Kansas City Chiefs
This is going to be a pick in the trenches if they stay here. I think they should consider Ingram. If they feel that Ingram is fine I don't know if they should take him, but definitely consider him. I don't like the Phil Taylor pick I've been seeing here. I think it's Paea or Wilkerson on the defensive side. Then Carimi or Pouncey on the offensive side. My question is does Paea or Wilkerson fit into what KC wants if not this probably is Taylor.
-Wilkerson

Indianapolis Colts
Taking a tackle.
-Gabe Carimi

Philadelphia Eagles
Tackles get flying off the board. I don't know which tackle this will be.
-Derek Sherrod

New Orleans Saints
I think this has to be DL.
-Adrian Clayborn

Seattle Seahawks
Pete Carroll is going to fall in love with someone different everyday it just matters who he is in love with on draft day.
-Pouncey

Baltimore Ravens
Defensive defensive and more defensive. They need help at the CB position.
-Jimmy Smith

Atlanta Falcons
They are look at OL, WR, and DE. If they are smart they will take the best available of a decently needed area. I love Solder. I know I have him late, but he doesn't necessarily fit as well with other teams. I think he would be a great fit with Indy as well. These are who I think they would take not who I would take. Solder in pass protection needs work, but will be the best from this class.
-Nate Solder

New England Patriots
I have to think they will get on skill position and a defensive pick if they stick with their top two picks. No way they stick with all 3 of their top 3 choices.
-Mark Ingram

Chicago Bears
They have to take an OL here. Sadly Solder is gone.
-Ben Ijalana

New York Jets
In a 3-4 you can never have enough LBs and DEs. Cameron Heyward is a likely pick here.
-Torrey Smith

Pittsburgh Steelers
Top OL off the board make this pick tough. This could be Stefan Wisniewski. I think Stefan would be a great fit for them. It might be a reach, but it makes them better at the end of the day.
-Brandon Harris

Green Bay Packers
WR is likely this pick.
-Jon Baldwin

I will try and get the second round out soon, but I am getting close to crunch time. As you can tell the the posts have really slowed down, but they should be coming back up here in a couple of months.

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